MLB best bets, picks for Wednesday

Cam Schlitter’s homer-suppressing tendencies haven’t transferred over to the big leagues. 

The Yankees’ rookie has allowed six long balls in 29 ⅔ innings since his big league debut on July 9. 

Schlitter’s 1.82 homers allowed per nine innings is the 19th-highest among MLB pitchers with at least 29 innings pitched in that span. 

When Schlitter takes the mound on Wednesday against the Rays in Tampa Bay, I’m targeting the red-hot Junior Caminero to get the best of the right-hander. 

Last time Schlitter faced the Rays on July 28, Caminero took him deep in his first-ever plate appearance against him, hitting a 397-foot bomb to left field. 

Caminero has been on a ridiculous power-hitting run since the calendar turned to August. 

His eight home runs this month are tied with A’s slugger Shea Langeliers for the most in Major League Baseball heading into Tuesday’s play. 

Since the All-Star break, Caminero’s .624 slugging percentage is the seventh-highest in the league. 

Caminero has also been a much different hitter on the Rays’ home field, taking full advantage of the dimensions at George M. Steinbrenner Field. 

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He’s hitting .323/.359/.620 at home compared to just .194/.240/.439 on the road this season. 

I like Caminero to homer on Wednesday, but bettors could play it a little safer by taking the young slugger to go Over 1.5 total bases. 

The play: Junior Caminero to hit a home run (+320, FanDuel) and to have more than 1.5 total bases (+110, Bet365)

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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.