Three games to jump on now, including Giants vs. Chiefs

Favorites are running wild in the NFL right now.

Do we need to reassess our perspective on betting on the NFL? Favorites of at least four points are 12-0 straight up this season.

Widening out the window a bit, favorites of 4+ points are 64-7 straight up since Week 13 of last season.

Perhaps the difference between the haves and have-nots in the NFL is actually that dramatic. It’s an interesting trend going through the league as we prepare for Week 3 of the NFL season.

All odds are provided by FanDuel.

Week 3 NFL early predictions

Chiefs -5.5 at Giants

I suspect this gets to a touchdown by the time “Sunday Night Football” kicks off.

While the Chiefs love playing in close games, the Giants were a disaster on defense last week and undisciplined on both sides of the ball.

Big Blue had 160 yards of penalties during Sunday’s shootout with the Cowboys, and while I loved what I saw from Russell Wilson and the offense, I suspect that the Chiefs’ defense will be much sharper than Dallas was in Week 2.

Kansas City has a league-average defense, allowing 5.1 yards per play, significantly better than the Cowboys, who have the third-worst number by that same metric (6.4 yards per play allowed).

Betting on the NFL?

Texans +1.5 at Jaguars

The Houston Texans have yet to play in Week 2 on “Monday Night Football,” and I think that has stunted the line movement here.

The Jaguars were a disaster against Jake Browning and the Bengals.

Jacksonville allowed the Bengals, who were mostly led by a backup quarterback in Week 2, to drive down the field methodically to get a late score.

Browning threw three picks, and his team still won the game.

Houston should have the edge here, fielding a significantly better team from top to bottom on Sunday.

The Texans would be favored over the Bengals if we knew Browning would play most of the snaps.

I suspect this line flips early in the week, and the Texans close as favorites.

Why Trust New York Post Betting

Erich Richter is a brazilian jiu-jitsu blue belt but he has a black belt in MMA betting. During the football season he’s showcased massive profits at The Post in the player prop market the last two seasons. While constantly betting long shots, his return on investment is 30.15 percent since 2022.