MLB Wednesday pick, best bet, odds

The Mets’ offense gets a chance to wake up on Wednesday against a familiar face. 

Carlos Carrasco, who spent three years in Queens from 2021-23, will take the mound for the Braves amid perhaps the worst season of his 16-year big league career. 

The 38-year-old right-hander has a 6.18 ERA in 10 games (eight starts) this season, and he’s not fooling any hitters at all. 

Batters are hitting .302/.350/.527 against Carrasco with a 10.6 percent barrel rate and a 39.7 percent hard-hit rate. 

Unsurprisingly, Carrasco has struggled with the long ball. 

He’s given up nine home runs across 43 ⅔ innings, or 1.5 allowed per nine innings on the mound. 

It’s a trend that’s plagued the veteran in recent years. 

Carrasco’s 1.74 homers allowed per nine innings since 2023 are the fourth-highest in baseball among pitchers with at least 200 innings pitched over that period. 

I’m targeting Juan Soto to have a big game against the struggling Carrasco. 

Soto snapped his power drought last week, hitting a home run in three straight games before logging another two-hit game on Sunday. 

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He’s already homered off Carrasco in the past, hitting a three-run dinger off of him in 2021 with the Nationals. 

Let’s see if Soto can help get the Mets back in the win column for the first time in over a week.

The plays: Juan Soto to hit a home run (+250, FanDuel) and to have more than 1.5 total bases (-105)

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Dylan Svoboda is a versatile writer and analyst across many sports. He’s particularly knowledgeable about the big three — MLB, the NFL and the NBA.